Slipper Digital Store Profit
Home / Guides / Break-even ROAS and maximum CPA

Break-even ROAS and maximum CPA

Break-even ROAS is the return on ad spend below which every ad-driven order loses money. Work it out from your own order economics, not a rule of thumb.

The formulas

Contribution per order before ads = AOV x (1 - product cost % - fees % - refund %) - shipping per order
Break-even CPA = contribution per order before ads
Break-even ROAS = AOV / break-even CPA

Break-even CPA is the most you can pay in ads to win one order without losing money on it. Break-even ROAS is the same line, expressed the way ad platforms report.

Worked example

Illustrative numbers: $50 average order, product cost 35%, fees 3%, refunds 4%, shipping $6.

$50 x (1 - 0.35 - 0.03 - 0.04) - $6 = $29 - $6 = $23 break-even CPA
$50 / $23 = 2.17 break-even ROAS

A campaign reporting a ROAS of 2.0 looks positive on the dashboard and loses about $2 an order. To keep $5 profit an order, the ROAS has to reach $50 / ($23 - $5) = 2.78.

Break-even calculator

Break-even CPA-
Break-even ROAS-
ROAS for your target profit-

Three things that move the line

  • Order value. Bundles and upsells raise AOV and lower the ROAS you need.
  • Refunds. Each refund takes back the revenue and keeps the ad cost.
  • Shipping. A flat shipping cost hurts small orders most.
Free: the Profit Leak Scorecard. Enter your last 30 days and see your break-even CPA, real ad cost per order, net margin and which cost line costs you most. Run the scorecard.

Go further

Know your ROAS floor before you spend.

Ad Spend Template

$17 · 30-day refund

A 4-tab interactive calculator for your break-even ROAS, maximum profitable CPA and budget rules.

The full 4-tab version, with budget rules.

A decision system for paid ads.

Ad Scaling Command Center

$147 · 30-day refund

Break-even and maximum safe CPA, KPI dashboards and rules for when to scale, kill or refresh, across 8 assets.

Questions

How do you calculate break-even ROAS?

Break-even ROAS = average order value / contribution per order before ads, where contribution = AOV x (1 - product cost % - fees % - refund %) - shipping per order.

What is a good ROAS for ecommerce?

There is no universal number. A good ROAS is one above your own break-even ROAS, by enough to leave the profit you want per order.

What is maximum CPA?

The most you can pay to acquire one order. At break-even it equals your contribution per order before ads.